2004 Paper 2 Q13

Year: 2004
Paper: 2
Question Number: 13

Course: LFM Stats And Pure
Section: Discrete Probability Distributions

Difficulty: 1600.0 Banger: 1500.0

Problem

A bag contains \(b\) balls, \(r\) of them red and the rest white. In a game the player must remove balls one at a time from the bag (without replacement). She may remove as many balls as she wishes, but if she removes any red ball, she loses and gets no reward at all. If she does not remove a red ball, she is rewarded with \pounds 1 for each white ball she has removed. If she removes \(n\) white balls on her first \(n\) draws, calculate her expected gain on the next draw and show that %her expected total reward would be the same as before it is zero if \(\ds n = {b-r \over r+1}\,\). Hence, or otherwise, show that she will maximise her expected total reward if she aims to remove \(n\) balls, where \[ n = \mbox{ the integer part of } \ds {b + 1 \over r + 1}\;. \] With this value of \(n\), show that in the case \(r=1\) and \(b\) even, her expected total reward is \(\pounds {1 \over 4}b\,\), and find her expected total reward in the case \(r=1\) and \(b\) odd.

No solution available for this problem.

Rating Information

Difficulty Rating: 1600.0

Difficulty Comparisons: 0

Banger Rating: 1500.0

Banger Comparisons: 0

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Problem source
A bag contains $b$ balls, $r$ of them red and the rest white. 
In a game the player must remove balls one at a time from the bag (without replacement). 
She may remove  as many balls as she wishes, but if she removes any red
ball, she loses and gets no reward at all.
If she does not remove a red ball,
she is rewarded with \pounds 1 for each white ball she has removed.

If she removes $n$ white balls on her first $n$ draws, calculate her expected 
gain on the next draw and show that 
%her expected total reward would be the same as before 
it is zero 
if $\ds n = {b-r \over r+1}\,$.
Hence, or otherwise, show that she will maximise her expected total
reward if she aims to remove $n$ balls, where 
\[
n = \mbox{ the integer part of } \ds {b + 1 \over r + 1}\;.
\]
With this value of $n$, show that in
the case $r=1$ and $b$ even,
her expected total reward is $\pounds {1 \over 4}b\,$, and find her expected total reward in
the case $r=1$ and $b$ odd.