Year: 1999
Paper: 1
Question Number: 12
Course: LFM Stats And Pure
Section: Tree Diagrams
Difficulty Rating: 1500.0
Difficulty Comparisons: 0
Banger Rating: 1516.0
Banger Comparisons: 1
\begin{questionparts}
\item Prove that if $x>0$ then $x+x^{-1}\ge2.\;$ I have a pair of six-faced dice, each with faces numbered from 1 to 6. The probability of throwing $i$ with the first die is $q_{i}$ and the probability of throwing $j$ with the second die is $r_{j}$ ($1\le i,j \le 6$). The two dice are thrown independently and the sum noted. By considering the probabilities of throwing 2, 12 and 7, show the sums $2, 3, \dots, 12$ are not equally likely.
\item
The first die described above is thrown twice and the two numbers on the die noted. Is it possible to find values of $q_{j}$ so that the probability that the numbers are the same is less than $1/36$?
\end{questionparts}
\begin{questionparts}
\item Notice that if $x > 0$ we must have
\begin{align*}
&& \left ( \sqrt{x} - \frac{1}{\sqrt{x}} \right)^2 &\geq 0 \\
\Leftrightarrow && x - 2 + x^{-1} & \geq 0 \\
\Leftrightarrow && x + x^{-1} & \geq 2
\end{align*}
Let $S$ be the sum, and assume all probabilities are equal
\begin{align*}
&& \mathbb{P}(S = 2) &= q_1 r_1 \\
&& \mathbb{P}(S = 12) &= q_6 r_6 \\
&& \mathbb{P}(S = 7) &= \sum_{i=1}^6 q_i r_{7-i} \\
\Rightarrow && q_1r_1 &= q_6r_6 \\
\Rightarrow && q_1r_6+q_6r_1 &\leq q_1r_1 \\
\Rightarrow && \frac{r_6}{r_1} + \frac{q_6}{q_1} &\leq 1 \\
\Rightarrow && q_1r_6+q_6r_1 &\leq q_6r_6 \\
\Rightarrow && \frac{q_1}{q_6} + \frac{r_1}{r_6} &\leq 1 \\
\Rightarrow && \frac{r_6}{r_1} + \frac{q_6}{q_1}+\frac{q_1}{q_6} + \frac{r_1}{r_6} &\leq 2\\
\text{but} && \frac{r_6}{r_1} + \frac{q_6}{q_1}+\frac{q_1}{q_6} + \frac{r_1}{r_6} &\geq 4
\end{align*}
Since we have a contradiction they cannot all be equal.
\item We would like $\displaystyle \sum q_i^2 \leq 1/36$ (subject to $\displaystyle \sum q_i = 1$, clearly this cannot be true since:
\begin{align*}
&& 1 &= \left ( \sum_{i=1}^6 q_i \right)^2 \\
&&&= \sum_{i=1}^6 q_i^2 + \sum_{i \neq j} 2q_i q_j \\
&&&\leq \sum_{i=1}^6 q_i^2 + 5\sum_{i=1}^6 q_i^2 \\
&&&=6 \sum_{i=1}^6 q_i^2 \\
\Rightarrow && \sum_{i=1}^6 q_i^2 &\geq 1/6 > 1/36
\end{align*}
[For a weaker solution to the last part, notice that the largest value of $q_i$ is $\geq 1/6$ and therefore $q_{max}^2 \geq 1/36$, but if equality holds then the other values must also be non-zero, and therefore the inequality cannot hold]
\end{questionparts}