1997 Paper 2 Q14

Year: 1997
Paper: 2
Question Number: 14

Course: UFM Statistics
Section: Poisson Distribution

Difficulty: 1600.0 Banger: 1469.6

Problem

Traffic enters a tunnel which is 9600 metres long, and in which overtaking is impossible. The number of vehicles which enter in any given time is governed by the Poisson distribution with mean 6 cars per minute. All vehicles travel at a constant speed until forced to slow down on catching up with a slower vehicle ahead. I enter the tunnel travelling at 30 m\(\,\)s\(^{-1}\) and all the other traffic is travelling at 32 m\(\,\)s\(^{-1}\). What is the expected number of vehicles in the queue behind me when I leave the tunnel? Assuming again that I travel at 30 m\(\,\)s\(^{-1}\), but that all the other vehicles are independently equally likely to be travelling at 30 m\(\,\)s\(^{-1}\) or 32 m\(\,\)s\(^{-1}\), find the probability that exactly two vehicles enter the tunnel within 20 seconds of my doing so and catch me up before I leave it. Find also the probability that there are exactly two vehicles queuing behind me when I leave the tunnel. \noindent [Ignore the lengths of the vehicles.]

No solution available for this problem.

Rating Information

Difficulty Rating: 1600.0

Difficulty Comparisons: 0

Banger Rating: 1469.6

Banger Comparisons: 2

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Problem source
Traffic enters a tunnel which is 9600 metres long, and in which overtaking
is impossible. The number of vehicles 
which enter in any given time is governed by the Poisson distribution with 
mean 6 cars per minute. All vehicles travel
at a constant speed until forced to slow down on catching up with a
slower vehicle ahead. I enter the tunnel travelling at 30
m$\,$s$^{-1}$
and all the other traffic is travelling at 32 m$\,$s$^{-1}$. What is
the expected number of vehicles in
the queue behind me when I leave the tunnel? 

Assuming again that I travel at 30 m$\,$s$^{-1}$, but that all the other
vehicles are independently equally likely to be travelling at 30 m$\,$s$^{-1}$
or 32 m$\,$s$^{-1}$, find the probability that 
 exactly two
vehicles enter the tunnel within 20 seconds of my doing so
and catch me up before I leave it.
Find also the probability that there are exactly two vehicles
queuing behind me when I leave the tunnel.

\noindent [Ignore the lengths of the vehicles.]