1996 Paper 1 Q12

Year: 1996
Paper: 1
Question Number: 12

Course: LFM Stats And Pure
Section: Hypergeometric Distribution

Difficulty: 1484.0 Banger: 1485.4

Problem

An examiner has to assign a mark between 1 and \(m\) inclusive to each of \(n\) examination scripts (\(n\leqslant m\)). He does this randomly, but never assigns the same mark twice. If \(K\) is the highest mark that he assigns, explain why \[ \mathrm{P}(K=k)=\left.\binom{k-1}{n-1}\right/\binom{m}{n} \] for \(n\leqslant k\leqslant m,\) and deduce that \[ \sum_{k=n}^{m}\binom{k-1}{n-1}=\binom{m}{n}\,. \] Find the expected value of \(K\).

Solution

If the highest mark is \(k\), then there are \(n-1\) remaining marks to give, and they have to be chosen from the numbers \(1, 2, \ldots, k-1\), ie in \(\binom{k-1}{n-1}\) ways. There are \(n\) numbers to be chosen from \(1, 2, \ldots, m\) in total, therefore \(\displaystyle \mathbb{P}(K=k) = \left.\binom{k-1}{n-1} \right/ \binom{m}{n}\) Since \(K\) can take any of the values \(n, \cdots, m\), we must have \begin{align*} && 1 &= \sum_{k=n}^m \mathbb{P}(K=k) \\ &&&= \sum_{k=n}^m \left.\binom{k-1}{n-1} \right/ \binom{m}{n} \\ \Rightarrow && \binom{m}{n} &= \sum_{k=n}^m \binom{k-1}{n-1} \\ \\ && \mathbb{E}(K) &= \sum_{k=n}^m k \cdot \mathbb{P}(K=k) \\ &&&= \sum_{k=n}^m k \cdot \left.\binom{k-1}{n-1} \right/ \binom{m}{n} \\ &&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1} \sum_{k=n}^m \frac{k}{n} \cdot \binom{k-1}{n-1} \\ &&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1} \sum_{k=n}^m \binom{k}{n} \\ &&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1} \sum_{k=n+1}^{m+1} \binom{k-1}{n+1-1} \\ &&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1} \binom{m+1}{n+1} \\ &&&= n \cdot \frac{m+1}{n+1} \end{align*}
Rating Information

Difficulty Rating: 1484.0

Difficulty Comparisons: 1

Banger Rating: 1485.4

Banger Comparisons: 3

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Problem source
An examiner has to assign a mark between 1 and $m$ inclusive to each of $n$ examination scripts ($n\leqslant m$). He does this randomly, but never assigns the same mark twice. If $K$ is the highest mark that he assigns, explain why 
\[
\mathrm{P}(K=k)=\left.\binom{k-1}{n-1}\right/\binom{m}{n}
\]
for $n\leqslant k\leqslant m,$ and deduce that 
\[
\sum_{k=n}^{m}\binom{k-1}{n-1}=\binom{m}{n}\,.
\]
Find the expected value of $K$.
Solution source
If the highest mark is $k$, then there are $n-1$ remaining marks to give, and they have to be chosen from the numbers $1, 2, \ldots, k-1$, ie in $\binom{k-1}{n-1}$ ways. There are $n$ numbers to be chosen from $1, 2, \ldots, m$ in total, therefore $\displaystyle \mathbb{P}(K=k) = \left.\binom{k-1}{n-1} \right/ \binom{m}{n}$

Since $K$ can take any of the values $n, \cdots, m$, we must have

\begin{align*}
&& 1 &= \sum_{k=n}^m \mathbb{P}(K=k) \\
&&&=  \sum_{k=n}^m  \left.\binom{k-1}{n-1} \right/ \binom{m}{n} \\
\Rightarrow && \binom{m}{n} &=  \sum_{k=n}^m  \binom{k-1}{n-1} \\
\\
&& \mathbb{E}(K) &= \sum_{k=n}^m k \cdot \mathbb{P}(K=k) \\
&&&= \sum_{k=n}^m k \cdot  \left.\binom{k-1}{n-1} \right/ \binom{m}{n}  \\
&&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1}  \sum_{k=n}^m \frac{k}{n} \cdot  \binom{k-1}{n-1} \\
&&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1}  \sum_{k=n}^m \binom{k}{n} \\
&&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1}  \sum_{k=n+1}^{m+1} \binom{k-1}{n+1-1} \\
&&&= n\binom{m}{n}^{-1}  \binom{m+1}{n+1} \\
&&&= n \cdot \frac{m+1}{n+1}
\end{align*}