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1991 Paper 2 Q11
D: 1600.0 B: 1500.0

The Ruritanian army is supplied with shells which may explode at any time in flight but not before the shell reaches its maximum height. The effect of the explosion on any observer depends only on the distance between the exploding shell and the observer (and decreases with distance). Ruritanian guns fire the shells with fixed muzzle speed, and it is the policy of the gunners to fire the shell at an angle of elevation which minimises the possible damages to themselves (assuming the ground is level) - i.e. they aim so that the point on the descending trajectory that is nearest to them is as far away as possible. With that intention, they choose the angle of elevation that minimises the damage to themselves if the shell explodes at its maximum height. What angle do they choose? Does the shell then get any nearer to the gunners during its descent?

1991 Paper 2 Q12
D: 1600.0 B: 1500.0

A particle is attached to one end \(B\) of a light elastic string of unstretched length \(a\). Initially the other end \(A\) is at rest and the particle hangs at rest at a distance \(a+c\) vertically below \(A\). At time \(t=0\), the end \(A\) is forced to oscillate vertically, its downwards displacement at time \(t\) being \(b\sin pt\). Let \(x(t)\) be the downwards displacement of the particle at time \(t\) from its initial equilibrium position. Show that, while the string remains taut, \(x(t)\) satisfies \[ \frac{\mathrm{d}^{2}x}{\mathrm{d}t^{2}}=-n^{2}(x-b\sin pt), \] where \(n^{2}=g/c\), and that if \(0 < p < n\), \(x(t)\) is given by \[ x(t)=\frac{bn}{n^{2}-p^{2}}(n\sin pt-p\sin nt). \] Write down a necessary and sufficient condition that the string remains taut throughout the subsequent motion, and show that it is satisfied if \(pb < (n-p)c.\)

1991 Paper 2 Q13
D: 1600.0 B: 1500.0

A non-uniform rod \(AB\) of mass \(m\) is pivoted at one end \(A\) so that it can swing freely in a vertical plane. Its centre of mass is a distance \(d\) from \(A\) and its moment of inertia about any axis perpendicular to the rod through \(A\) is \(mk^{2}.\) A small ring of mass \(\alpha m\) is free to slide along the rod and the coefficient of friction between the ring and rod is \(\mu.\) The rod is initially held in a horizontal position with the ring a distance \(x\) from \(A\). If \(k^{2} > xd\), show that when the rod is released, the ring will start to slide when the rod makes an angle \(\theta\) with the downward vertical, where \[ \mu\tan\theta=\frac{3\alpha x^{2}+k^{2}+2xd}{k^{2}-xd}. \] Explain what will happen if (i) \(k^{2}=xd\) and (ii) \(k^{2} < xd\).

1991 Paper 2 Q14
D: 1600.0 B: 1500.0

The current in a straight river of constant width \(h\) flows at uniform speed \(\alpha v\) parallel to the river banks, where \(0<\alpha<1\). A boat has to cross from a point \(A\) on one bank to a point \(B\) on the other bank directly opposite to \(A\). The boat moves at constant speed \(v\) relative to the water. When the position of the boat is \((x,y)\), where \(x\) is the perpendicular distance from the opposite bank and \(y\) is the distance downstream from \(AB\), the boat is pointing in a direction which makes an angle \(\theta\) with \(AB\). Determine the velocity vector of the boat in terms of \(v,\theta\) and \(\alpha.\) The pilot of the boat steers in such a way that the boat always points exactly towards \(B\). Show that the velocity vector of the boat is \[ \begin{pmatrix}\dfrac{\mathrm{d}x}{\mathrm{d}t}\\ \tan\theta\dfrac{\mathrm{d}x}{\mathrm{d}t}+x\sec^{2}\theta\dfrac{\mathrm{d}\theta}{\mathrm{d}t} \end{pmatrix}. \] By comparing this with your previous expression deduce that \[ \alpha\frac{\mathrm{d}x}{\mathrm{d}\theta}=-x\sec\theta \] and hence show that \[ (x/h)^{\alpha}=(\sec\theta+\tan\theta)^{-1}. \] Let \(s(t)\) be a new variable defined by \(\tan\theta=\sinh(\alpha s).\) Show that \(x=h\mathrm{e}^{-s},\) and that \[ h\mathrm{e}^{-s}\cosh(\alpha s)\frac{\mathrm{d}s}{\mathrm{d}t}=v. \] Hence show that the time of crossing is \(hv^{-1}(1-\alpha^{2})^{-1}.\)

1991 Paper 2 Q15
D: 1600.0 B: 1484.0

Integers \(n_{1},n_{2},\ldots,n_{r}\) (possibly the same) are chosen independently at random from the integers \(1,2,3,\ldots,m\). Show that the probability that \(\left|n_{1}-n_{2}\right|=k\), where \(1\leqslant k\leqslant m-1\), is \(2(m-k)/m^{2}\) and show that the expectation of \(\left|n_{1}-n_{2}\right|\) is \((m^{2}-1)/(3m)\). Verify, for the case \(m=2\), the result that the expection of \(\left|n_{1}-n_{2}\right|+\left|n_{2}-n_{3}\right|\) is \(2(m^{2}-1)/(3m).\) Write down the expectation, for general \(m\), of \[ \left|n_{1}-n_{2}\right|+\left|n_{2}-n_{3}\right|+\cdots+\left|n_{r-1}-n_{r}\right|. \] Desks in an examination hall are placed a distance \(d\) apart in straight lines. Each invigilator looks after one line of \(m\) desks. When called by a candidate, the invigilator walks to that candidate's desk, and stays there until called again. He or she is equally likely to be called by any of the \(m\) candidates in the line but candidates never call simultaneously or while the invigilator is attending to another call. At the beginning of the examination the invigilator stands by the first desk. Show that the expected distance walked by the invigilator in dealing with \(N+1\) calls is \[ \frac{d(m-1)}{6m}[2N(m+1)+3m]. \]

1991 Paper 2 Q16
D: 1600.0 B: 1516.0

Each time it rains over the Cabbibo dam, a volume \(V\) of water is deposited, almost instanetaneously, in the reservoir. Each day (midnight to midnight) water flows from the reservoir at a constant rate \(u\) units of volume per day. An engineer, if present, may choose to alter the value of \(u\) at any midnight.

  1. Suppose that it rains at most once in any day, that there is a probability \(p\) that it will rain on any given day and that, if it does, the rain is equally likely to fall at any time in the 24 hours (i.e. the time at which the rain falls is a random variable uniform on the interval \([0,24]\)). The engineers decides to take two days' holiday starting at midnight. If at this time the volume of water in the reservoir is \(V\) below the top of the dam, find an expression for \(u\) such that the probability of overflow in the two days is \(Q\), where \(Q < p^{2}.\)
  2. For the engineer's summer holidays, which last 18 days, the reservoir is drained to a volume \(kV\) below the top of the dam and the rate of outflow \(u\) is set to zero. The engineer wants to drain off as little as possible, consistent with the requirement that the probability that the dam will overflow is less than \(\frac{1}{10}.\) In the case \(p=\frac{1}{3},\) find by means of a suitable approximation the required value of \(k\).
  3. Suppose instead that it may rain at most once before noon and at most once after noon each day, that the probability of rain in any given half-day is \(\frac{1}{6}\) and that it is equally likely to rain at any time in each half-day. Is the required value of \(k\) lower or higher?


Solution:

  1. It cannot overflow on the first day, since it is already \(V\) below the top. The only way it can overflow is if it rains both days. This will occur with probability \(p^2\). The probability it overflows therefore is the probability that bad timing hampers us, ie \(V - u(1+t_2) > 0\) where \(t_2\) is the timing of the rain on day 2 (as a fraction of a day). Ie \(t_2 < \frac{V}{u}-1\). Therefore \begin{align*} && Q &= p^2 \left (\frac{V}{u} - 1 \right) \\ \Rightarrow && u &= \frac{Vp^2}{p^2+Q} \end{align*}
  2. The probability the reservoir overflows during this \(18\) days is \(\mathbb{P}(\text{rains more than }k\text{ times})\). The number of times it rains (\(X\)) is \(B(18, \tfrac13)\), since \(18 \cdot \tfrac13 = 6 > 5\) a normal approximation is reasonable, ie \(X \approx N(6, 4)\). We wish to find \(k\) such that \(\mathbb{P}( X > k + 0.5) < \tfrac1{10}\) therefore \(k \approx 1.28 \cdot 2 + 6 - 0.5 \approx 8.1\) so they should set \(k\) to \(9\)
  3. In this case we have \(B(36, \tfrac16)\) approximated by \(B(6, 5)\) which has a larger standard deviation, therefore we need to choose a larger value for \(k\). [It turns out to actually be the same, but there's no reason to be able to expect students without a calculator to establish this]