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1990 Paper 1 Q11
D: 1500.0 B: 1484.0

A shell of mass \(m\) is fired at elevation \(\pi/3\) and speed \(v\). Superman, of mass \(2m\), catches the shell at the top of its flight, by gliding up behind it in the same horizontal direction with speed \(3v\). As soon as Superman catches the shell, he instantaneously clasps it in his cloak, and immediately pushes it vertically downwards, without further changing its horizontal component of velocity, but giving it a downward vertical component of velocity of magnitude \(3v/2\). Calculate the total time of flight of the shell in terms of \(v\) and \(g\). Calculate also, to the nearest degree, the angle Superman's flight trajectory initially makes with the horizontal after releasing the shell, as he soars upwards like a bird. {[}Superman and the shell may be regarded as particles.{]}


Solution: The particle has initial velocity \(\displaystyle \binom{v \cos \frac{\pi}{3}}{v \sin \frac{\pi}{3}}\) and acceleration \(\displaystyle \binom{0}{-g}\). It will have zero vertical speed (ie be at the top of its trajectory) when \(t = \frac{\sqrt{3}v}{2g}\). Since \(0 = v^2-u^2 + 2as\) the height achieved will be \(\frac{3v^2}{8g}\) At this point it will need to travel the same distance again, but this time the initial speed is \(\frac{3v}{2}\) so: \begin{align*} && \frac{3v^2}{8g} &= \frac{3v}{2} t + \frac12 g t^2 \\ \Rightarrow && 0 &= 4g^2t^2+12vgt - 3v^2 \\ \Rightarrow && t &= \l \frac{-3+2\sqrt{3}}{2} \r \frac{v}{g} \end{align*} Therefore the total time is: \begin{align*} \l \frac{\sqrt{3}}{2} - \frac32 + \sqrt{3} \r \frac{v}{g} &= \frac{3\sqrt{3}-3}{2}\frac{v}{g} \end{align*} \begin{align*} COM(\uparrow): && 0 &= 2m v_y - m \frac{3}{2}v \\ \Rightarrow &&v_y &= \frac34 v \\ COM(\rightarrow): && 3mV &= 2m (3v) +m \frac{v}{2} \\ \Rightarrow && V &= \frac{13}6\\ \end{align*} Therefore superman is now travelling at a vector of \(\displaystyle \binom{\frac{13}6}{\frac34}v\) ie an angle of \(\tan^{-1} \frac 9{26}\) to the horizontal, approximately \(19^\circ\)

1990 Paper 1 Q12
D: 1516.0 B: 1484.0

\(\,\)

TikZ diagram
In the above diagram, \(ABC\) represents a light spring of natural length \(2l\) and modulus of elasticity \(\lambda,\) which is coiled round a smooth fixed horizontal rod. \(B\) is the midpoint of \(AC.\) The two ends of a light inelastic string of length \(2l\) are attached to the spring at \(A\) and \(C\). A particle of mass \(m\) is fixed to the string at \(D\), the midpoint of the string. The system can be in equilibrium with the angle \(CAD\) equal to \(\pi/6.\) Show that \[ mg=\lambda\left(\frac{2}{\sqrt{3}}-1\right). \] Write the length \(AC\) as \(2xl\), obtain an expression for the potential energy of the system as a function of \(x\). The particle is held at \(B\), and the spring is restored to its natural length \(2l.\) The particle is then released and falls vertically. Obtain an equation satisfied by \(x\) when the particle next comes to rest. Verify numerically that a possible solution for \(x\) is approximately \(0.66.\)


Solution:

TikZ diagram
\(|AB| = l \cos \tfrac{\pi}{6} = \frac{\sqrt{3}}{2}l\) therefore \(|AC| = \sqrt{3}l\) and the compression is \((2l - \sqrt{3}l)\) and so \(T_2 = \frac{\lambda}{2l} (2l - \sqrt{3}l) = \frac12\lambda(2- \sqrt{3})\) \begin{align*} \text{N2}(\rightarrow, A): && T_1 \cos \tfrac{\pi}{6} - T_2 &= 0 \\ \Rightarrow && T_1 &= \frac12 \frac{2\lambda(2-\sqrt{3})}{\sqrt{3}} \\ &&&= \lambda \left ( \frac{2}{\sqrt{3}} - 1 \right) \\ \\ \text{N2}(\uparrow, D): && 2T_1 \cos \frac{\pi}{3} - mg &= 0 \\ \Rightarrow && mg &= \lambda \left ( \frac{2}{\sqrt{3}} - 1 \right) \end{align*} Suppose \(|AC| = 2xl\), then: \begin{array}{c|c} \text{energy} & \\ \hline \text{GPE} & -mg \sqrt{l^2 - x^2l^2} \\ \text{EPE} & \frac12 \frac{\lambda (2l - 2lx)^2}{2l} \\ \text{KE} & \frac12 m v^2 \end{array} Therefore \[ E = \frac12 mv^2 + \lambda l (1-x)^2-mgl \sqrt{1-x^2}\] Initially, \(E = 0 + 0 + 0 = 0\). When the particle first comes to rest: \begin{align*} \text{COE}: && 0 &= E \\ &&&= \lambda l^2 (1-x)^2 - mgl \sqrt{1-x^2} \\ &&&= \lambda l (1-x)^2 - l \lambda \left ( \frac{2}{\sqrt{3}} - 1 \right) \sqrt{1-x^2} \\ \Rightarrow && (1-x)^2 &= \sqrt{1-x^2} \left ( \frac{2}{\sqrt{3}} - 1 \right) \\ \Rightarrow && (1-x)^2(1-x^2)^{-1/2} &= \left ( \frac{2}{\sqrt{3}} - 1 \right) \\ \Rightarrow && (1-2x+x^2)(1+\frac12 x^2+\cdots) &= \left ( \frac{2}{\sqrt{3}} - 1 \right) \\ \end{align*} If \(x = \frac23\) then \((1-x)^2(1-x^2)^{-1/2} = \frac19 \cdot \left ( \frac{5}{9} \right)^{-1/2} = \frac{\sqrt{5}}{15}\) If \(2\sqrt{3}-3 \approx \frac{\sqrt{5}}5\) we're done.

1990 Paper 1 Q13
D: 1500.0 B: 1484.0

A rough circular cylinder of mass \(M\) and radius \(a\) rests on a rough horizontal plane. The curved surface of the cylinder is in contact with a smooth rail, parallel to the axis of the cylinder, which touches the cylinder at a height \(a/2\) above the plane. Initially the cylinder is held at rest. A particle of mass \(m\) rests in equilibrium on the cylinder, and the normal reaction of the cylinder on the particle makes an angle of \(\theta\) with the upward vertical. The particle is on the same side of the centre of the cylinder as the rail. The coefficient of friction between the cylinder and the particle and between the cylinder and the plane are both \(\mu\). Obtain the condition on \(\theta\) for the particle to rest in equilibrium. Show that, if the cylinder is released, equilibrium of both particle and cylinder is possible provided another inequality involving \(\mu\) and \(\theta\) (which should be found explicitly) is satisfied. Determine the largest possible value of \(\theta\) for equilibrium, if \(m=7M\) and \(\mu=0.75\).


Solution:

TikZ diagram
\begin{align*} \text{N2}(\nwarrow): && R -mg \cos \theta &= 0 \\ \text{N2}(\rightarrow): && -R \sin \theta + F \cos \theta &= 0 \\ \\ \Rightarrow && F &= \tan \theta R \\ \\ && F & \leq \mu R \\ \Rightarrow && \tan \theta R &\leq \mu R \\ \Rightarrow && \tan \theta &\leq \mu \end{align*} (Notice also \(F = mg \sin \theta\)) Once everything is released, we have the following situation. (Red forces act on the cylinder, blue forces on the particle).
TikZ diagram
\begin{align*} \text{N2}(\uparrow): && 0 &= R_g - Mg - \underbrace{mg}_{R_p \text{ and } F_p} + \frac{1}{\sqrt{2}}R_r \\ \text{N2}(\rightarrow): && 0 &= \frac{1}{\sqrt{2}}R_r - F_g \\ \overset{\curvearrowleft}{O}: && 0 &= aF_p - aF_g \\ \Rightarrow && F_g &= mg \sin \theta \\ \Rightarrow && R_r &= \sqrt{2} mg \sin \theta \\ \Rightarrow && R_g &=(M+m)g + mg \sin \theta \\ \\ && F_g &\leq \mu R_g \\ \Rightarrow && mg \sin \theta &\leq \mu (M+m(1+\sin \theta))g \\ \Rightarrow && \mu &\geq \frac{m \sin \theta}{M+m(1+\sin \theta)} \end{align*} If \(m = 7M\) and \(\mu = \frac34\) we have: \begin{align*} && \tan \theta &\leq \frac34 \\ && 3(M+7M(1 + \sin \theta)) &\geq 4 \cdot 7 M \sin \theta \\ \Rightarrow && 10 + 7 \sin \theta & \geq 28 \sin \theta \\ \Rightarrow && 10 &\geq 21 \sin \theta \\ \Rightarrow && \sin \theta &\leq \frac{10}{21} \end{align*} If \(\tan \theta = \frac{3}{4}, \sin \theta = \frac35 > \frac{10}{21}\), so the critical bound is \(\sin \theta \leq \frac{10}{21}\), ie \( \theta \leq \sin^{-1} \frac{10}{21} \approx 30^{\circ}\)

1990 Paper 1 Q14
D: 1500.0 B: 1500.7

A bag contains 5 white balls, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. In the game of Blackball, a player draws a ball at random from the bag, looks at it and replaces it. If he has drawn a white ball, he scores one point, while for a red ball he scores two points, these scores being added to his total score before he drew the ball. If he has drawn a black ball, the game is over and his final score is zero. After drawing a red or white ball, he can either decide to stop, when his final score for the game is the total so far, or he may elect to draw another ball. The starting score is zero. Juggins' strategy is to continue drawing until either he draws a black ball (when of course he must stop, with final score zero), or until he has drawn three (non-black) balls, when he elects to stop. Find the probability that in any game he achieves a final score of zero by employing this strategy. Find also his expected final score. Muggins has so far scored \(N\) points, and is deciding whether to draw another ball. Find the expected score if another ball is drawn, and suggest a strategy to achieve the greatest possible average final score in each game.


Solution: The probability Juggin's has a non-zero score is the probability he never draws a black ball in his three goes. This is \((1-\frac15)^3 = \frac{64}{125}\). Let's consider the \(\frac{61}{125}\) probability world where he never draws a black ball. In this conditional probability space, he has \(\frac{5}{8}\) chances of pulling out white balls and \(\frac38\) or pulling out red. His expected score per pull is \(\frac58 \cdot 1 + \frac38 \cdot 2 = \frac{11}{8}\). Therefore his expected score in this universe is \(\frac{33}8\) and his expected score is \(\frac{33}{8} \cdot \frac{61}{125} = \frac{2013}{1000} = 2.013\) . The expected score after drawing another ball is \(( N + 1)\frac{5}{10} + (N+2) \frac{3}{10} + 0 \cdot \frac{2}{10} = \frac{8}{10}N + \frac{11}{10}\). A sensible strategy would be to only draw if \(\frac{8}{10}N + \frac{11}{10} > N \Rightarrow N < \frac{11}{2}\), ie keep drawing until \(N \geq 6\) or we bust out. [The expected score for this strategy is: \begin{array}{ccc} \text{score} & \text{route} & \text{count} & \text{prob} \\ \hline 6 & \text{6 1s} & 1 & \left ( \frac12 \right)^6 \\ 6 & \text{4 1s, 1 2} & 5 & 5 \cdot \left ( \frac12 \right)^4 \cdot \frac{3}{10} \\ 6 & \text{2 1s, 2 2s} & 6 & 6 \cdot \left ( \frac12 \right)^2 \cdot \left ( \frac{3}{10} \right)^2 \\ 6 & \text{3 2s} & 1 & 1 \cdot \left ( \frac{3}{10} \right)^3 \\ 7 & \text{5 1s, 1 2} & 1 &\left ( \frac12 \right)^5 \cdot \frac{3}{10} \\ 7 & \text{3 1s, 2 2s} & 4 & 4\cdot \left ( \frac12 \right)^3 \cdot \left ( \frac{3}{10} \right)^2 \\ 7 & \text{1 1, 3 2s} & 3 & 3\cdot \left ( \frac12 \right) \cdot \left ( \frac{3}{10} \right)^3 \\ \end{array} For an expected value of \(\frac{2171}{8000} \cdot 6 + \frac{759}{8000} \cdot 7 = \frac{18\,339}{8000} = 2.29 \quad (3\text{ s.f.})\)]

1990 Paper 1 Q15
D: 1500.0 B: 1591.4

A coin has probability \(p\) (\(0 < p < 1\)) of showing a head when tossed. Give a careful argument to show that the \(k\)th head in a series of consecutive tosses is achieved after exactly \(n\) tosses with probability \[ \binom{n-1}{k-1}p^{k}(1-p)^{n-k}\qquad(n\geqslant k). \] Given that it took an even number of tosses to achieve exactly \(k-1\) heads, find the probability that exactly \(k\) heads are achieved after an even number of tosses. If this coin is tossed until exactly 3 heads are obtained, what is the probability that exactly 2 of the heads occur on even-numbered tosses?


Solution: We must have a sequence consisting of \(\underbrace{HTT\cdots TH}_{k-1\text{ heads and }n-k\text{ tails}}\underbrace{H}_{k\text{th head}}\). There are \(\binom{n-1}{k-1}\) ways to chose how to place the \(k-1\) heads in the first \(n-1\) flips, and each sequence has probability \(p^{k-1}(1-p)^{n-k}p\) which gives a probability of \(\displaystyle \binom{n-1}{k-1} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}\). Given that it took an even number of tosses to achieve \(k-1\) heads, this is equivalent to the problem of what is the probability that the first head occurs on an even flip, ie \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}(\text{even flip}) &= \mathbb{P}(2\text{nd flip}) +\mathbb{P}(4\text{th flip}) +\mathbb{P}(6\text{th flip}) + \cdots \\ &= (1-p)p + (1-p)^3p + (1-p)^5p + \cdots \\ &= (1-p)p \left ( \sum_{r=0}^\infty (1-p)^{2r}\right) \\ &= \frac{p(1-p)}{1-(1-p)^2} \\ &= \frac{p(1-p)}{2p-p^2} \\ &= \frac{1-p}{2-p} \end{align*} The ways to achieve \(2\) heads on even tosses are \(EEO\), \(EOE\), \(OEE\). The probability of going from \(O\) to \(E\) is the same as the initial probability of an \(O\) flip, etc. Therefore \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}(EEO) &=\left( \frac{1-p}{2-p} \right)^2 \left ( 1- \frac{1-p}{2-p} \right) \\ &= \left( \frac{1-p}{2-p} \right)^2 \left ( \frac{1}{2-p} \right) \\ \mathbb{P}(EOE) &= \left( \frac{1-p}{2-p} \right) \left ( \frac{1}{2-p} \right)^2 \\ \mathbb{P}(OEE) &= \left ( \frac{1}{2-p} \right)^2 \left( \frac{1-p}{2-p} \right)\\ \mathbb{P}(2 \text{ heads on even tosses}) &= \frac{(1-p)^2 + 2(1-p)}{(2-p)^3} \\ &= \frac{(1-p)(2-p)}{(2-p)^3} \\ &= \frac{1-p}{(2-p)^2} \end{align*}

1990 Paper 1 Q16
D: 1500.0 B: 1486.1

A bus is supposed to stop outside my house every hour on the hour. From long observation I know that a bus will always arrive some time between 10 minutes before and ten minutes after the hour. The probability it arrives at a given instant increases linearly (from zero at 10 minutes before the hour) up to a maximum value at the hour, and then decreases linearly at the same rate after the hour. Obtain the probability density function of \(T\), the time in minutes after the scheduled time at which a bus arrives. If I get up when my alarm clock goes off, I arrive at the bus stop at 7.55am. However, with probability 0.5, I doze for 3 minutes before it rings again. In that case with probability 0.8 I get up then and reach the bus stop at 7.58am, or, with probability 0.2, I sleep a little longer, not reaching the stop until 8.02am. What is the probability that I catch a bus by 8.10am? I buy a louder alarm clock which ensures that I reach the stop at exactly the same time each morning. This clock keeps perfect time, but may be set to an incorrect time. If it is correct, the alarm goes off so that I should reach the stop at 7.55am. After 100 mornings I find that I have had to wait for a bus until after 9am (according to the new clock) on 5 occasions. Is this evidence that the new clock is incorrectly set? {[}The time of arrival of different buses are independent of each other.{]}


Solution: The probability density function will look like a triangle with base \(20\) minutes and therefore height \(\frac{1}{10}\) per minute, ie: \begin{align*} f_T(t) &= \begin{cases} \frac{1}{100}(t+10) & \text{if } -10 \leq t \leq 0 \\ \frac{1}{100}(10-t) & \text{if } 0 \leq t \leq 10 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases} \end{align*} \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}(\text{catch bus}) &=0.5 \mathbb{P}(\text{bus arrives after 7:55})+0.4 \mathbb{P}(\text{bus arrives after 7:58}) + 0.1 \mathbb{P}(\text{bus arrives after 8:02}) \\ &= \frac12 \cdot \left (1 - \frac18 \right) + \frac{2}{5} \cdot \left ( 1 - \frac{4^2}{5^2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right) + \frac{1}{10} \cdot \frac{4^2}{5^2} \cdot \frac12 \\ &= \frac{1\,483}{2\,000} \\ &\approx 74\% \end{align*} \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}(\text{catch bus}) &= \mathbb{P}(\text{bus arrives after 7:55}) \mathbb{P}(\text{catch next bus by 9:00}) \\ &= \frac78 + \frac18 \cdot \frac12 \\ &= \frac{15}{16} \end{align*} He should expect to miss \(6.25\) buses, so missing \(5\) seems about right. (Using a binomial calculation, seeing 5 or fewer buses is ~\(40\%\) which isn't suspicious).