Problems

The time taken for me to set an acceptable examination question it \(T\) hours. The distribution of \(T\) is a truncated normal distribution with probability density \(\f\) where \[ \mathrm{f}(t)=\begin{cases} \dfrac{1}{k\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\exp\left(-\dfrac{1}{2}\left(\dfrac{t-\sigma}{\sigma}\right)^{2}\right) & \mbox{ for }t\geqslant0\\ 0 & \mbox{ for }t<0. \end{cases} \] Sketch the graph of \(\f(t)\). Show that \(k\) is approximately \(0.841\) and obtain the mean of \(T\) as a multiple of \(\sigma\). Over a period of years, I find that the mean setting time is 3 hours.

1. Find the approximate probability that none of the 16 questions on next year's paper will take more than 4 hours to set.
2. Given that a particular question is unsatisfactory after 2 hours work, find the probability that it will still be unacceptable after a further 2 hours work.