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1995 Paper 1 Q13
D: 1500.0 B: 1484.0

A scientist is checking a sequence of microscope slides for cancerous cells, marking each cancerous cell that she detects with a red dye. The number of cancerous cells on a slide is random and has a Poisson distribution with mean \(\mu.\) The probability that the scientist spots any one cancerous cell is \(p\), and is independent of the probability that she spots any other one.

  1. Show that the number of cancerous cells which she marks on a single slide has a Poisson distribution of mean \(p\mu.\)
  2. Show that the probability \(Q\) that the second cancerous cell which she marks is on the \(k\)th slide is given by \[ Q=\mathrm{e}^{-\mu p(k-1)}\left\{ (1+k\mu p)(1-\mathrm{e}^{-\mu p})-\mu p\right\} . \]