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1990 Paper 3 Q16
D: 1700.0 B: 1484.0
probability conditional probability geometric probability triangle inequality obtuse triangle uniform distribution bivariate distribution integration

  1. A rod of unit length is cut into pieces of length \(X\) and \(1-X\); the latter is then cut in half. The random variable \(X\) is uniformly distributed over \([0,1].\) For some values of \(X\) a triangle can be formed from the three pieces of the rod. Show that the conditional probability that, if a triangle can be formed, it will be obtuse-angled is \(3-2\sqrt{2.}\)
  2. The bivariate distribution of the random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) is uniform over the triangle with vertices \((1,0),(1,1)\) and \((0,1).\) A pair of values \(x,y\) is chosen at random from this distribution and a (perhaps degenerate) triangle \(ABC\) is constructed with \(BC=x\) and \(CA=y\) and \(AB=2-x-y.\) Show that the construction is always possible and that \(\angle ABC\) is obtuse if and only if \[ y>\frac{x^{2}-2x+2}{2-x}. \] Deduce that the probability that \(\angle ABC\) is obtuse is \(3-4\ln2.\)

Solution:

  1. TikZ diagram
    The construction is possible if \(x + y > 2-x-y \Rightarrow x+y > 1\) (which is as the triangle is above the diagonal line), and \(x + (2-x-y) > y \Rightarrow 1 > y\) (true as the triangle is below the horizontal line) and \(y + (2-x-y) > x \Rightarrow 1 > x\) (true as the triangle is left of the vertical arrow). By the cosine rule: \begin{align*} && y^2 &= x^2 + (2-x-y)^2 - 2 x (2-x-y) \cos \angle ABC \\ \Rightarrow && \cos \angle ABC &= \frac{x^2+(2-x-y)^2 - y^2}{2x(2-x-y)} \\ &&&= \frac{4+2x^2-4x-4y+2xy}{2x(2-x-y)} \\ \underbrace{\Rightarrow}_{\cos \angle ABC < 0} && 0 &> 4+2x^2-4x-4y+2xy \\ \Rightarrow && 0 &> 2x^2-4x+4 - 2(x-2)y \\ \Rightarrow && y &> \frac{x^2-2x+2}{2-x} \\ &&&= -x + \frac{2}{2-x} \end{align*}
    TikZ diagram
    Therefore the area we want is: \begin{align*} A &= 1 - \int_0^1 \left ( -x + \frac{2}{2-x} \right)\d x \\ &= 1 - \left [-\frac12 x^2 - 2 \ln(2-x) \right]_0^1 \\ &= 1 + \frac12 -2 \ln 2 \\ &= \frac32 - 2 \ln 2 \end{align*} Therefore the relative area is: \(\frac{\frac32 - 2 \ln 2}{1/2} = 3 - 4 \ln 2\)

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