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2001 Paper 3 Q11
D: 1700.0 B: 1500.0

A uniform cylinder of radius \(a\) rotates freely about its axis, which is fixed and horizontal. The moment of inertia of the cylinder about its axis is \(I\,\). A light string is wrapped around the cylinder and supports a mass \(m\) which hangs freely. A particle of mass \(M\) is fixed to the surface of the cylinder. The system is held at rest with the particle vertically below the axis of the cylinder, and then released. Find, in terms of \(I\), \(a\), \(M\), \(m\), \(g\) and \(\theta\), the angular velocity of the cylinder when it has rotated through angle \(\theta\,\). Show that the cylinder will rotate without coming to a halt if \(m/M>\sin\alpha\,\), where \(\alpha\) satisifes \(\alpha=\tan \frac12\alpha\) and \(0<\alpha<\pi\,\).

2001 Paper 3 Q12
D: 1700.0 B: 1518.2

A bag contains \(b\) black balls and \(w\) white balls. Balls are drawn at random from the bag and when a white ball is drawn it is put aside.

  1. If the black balls drawn are also put aside, find an expression for the expected number of black balls that have been drawn when the last white ball is removed.
  2. If instead the black balls drawn are put back into the bag, prove that the expected number of times a black ball has been drawn when the first white ball is removed is \(b/w\,\). Hence write down, in the form of a sum, an expression for the expected number of times a black ball has been drawn when the last white ball is removed.

2001 Paper 3 Q13
D: 1700.0 B: 1500.0

In a game for two players, a fair coin is tossed repeatedly. Each player is assigned a sequence of heads and tails and the player whose sequence appears first wins. Four players, \(A\), \(B\), \(C\) and \(D\) take turns to play the game. Each time they play, \(A\) is assigned the sequence TTH (i.e.~Tail then Tail then Head), \(B\) is assigned THH, \(C\) is assigned HHT and \(D\) is assigned~HTT.

  1. \(A\) and \(B\) play the game. Let \(p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny HH}}\), \(p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny HT}}\), \(p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny TH}}\) and \(p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny TT}}\) be the probabilities of \(A\) winning the game given that the first two tosses of the coin show HH, HT, TH and TT, respectively. Explain why \(p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny TT}} = 1\,\), and why $p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny HT}} = {1 \over 2} \, p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny TH}} + {1\over 2} \, p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny TT}}\,$. Show that $p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny HH}} = p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny HT}} = {2 \over 3}$ and that \(p_{\mathstrut\mbox{\tiny TH}} = {1\over 3}\,\). Deduce that the probability that A wins the game is \({2\over 3}\,\).
  2. \(B\) and \(C\) play the game. Find the probability that \(B\) wins.
  3. Show that if \(C\) plays \(D\), then \(C\) is more likely to win than \(D\), but that if \(D\) plays \(A\), then \(D\) is more likely to win than \(A\).

2001 Paper 3 Q14
D: 1700.0 B: 1484.0

A random variable \(X\) is distributed uniformly on \([\, 0\, , \, a\,]\). Show that the variance of \(X\) is\phantom{ }\({1 \over 12} a^2\). A sample, \(X_1\) and \(X_2\), of two independent values of the random variable is drawn, and the variance \(V\) of the sample is determined. Show that \(V = {1 \over 4} \l X_1 -X_2 \r ^2\), and hence prove that \(2 V\) is an unbiased estimator of the variance of X. Find an exact expression for the probability that the value of \(V\) is less than \({1 \over 12} a^2\) and estimate the value of this probability correct to one significant figure.