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2017 Paper 2 Q11
D: 1600.0 B: 1516.0

Two thin vertical parallel walls, each of height \(2a\), stand a distance \(a\) apart on horizontal ground. The projectiles in this question move in a plane perpendicular to the walls.

  1. A particle is projected with speed \(\sqrt{5ag}\) towards the two walls from a point \( A\) at ground level. It just clears the first wall. By considering the energy of the particle, find its speed when it passes over the first wall. Given that it just clears the second wall, show that the angle its trajectory makes with the horizontal when it passes over the first wall is \(45^\circ\,\). Find the distance of \(A\) from the foot of the first wall.
  2. A second particle is projected with speed \(\sqrt{5ag}\) from a point \(B\) at ground level towards the two walls. It passes a distance \(h\) above the first wall, where \(h>0\). Show that it does not clear the second wall.


Solution:

TikZ diagram
  1. \(\,\) \begin{align*} \bf{COE}: && \frac12 m \cdot 5ag &= mg\cdot 2a + \frac12 m v^2 \\ \Rightarrow && v^2 &= ag \\ && v &= \sqrt{ag} \end{align*} If it just clears the second wall, we must have: \begin{align*} && 0 &= \sqrt{ag} \sin \theta t - \frac12 gt^2 \\ \Rightarrow && t &= \frac{2\sqrt{ag}\sin \theta}{g} \\ && a &= \sqrt{ag} \cos \theta t \\ &&&=\sqrt{ag} \cos \theta \frac{2\sqrt{ag}\sin \theta}{g} \\ &&&= a \sin 2 \theta \\ \Rightarrow && \theta &= 45^{\circ} \end{align*} Imagine firing the particle backwards from the top of the wall at \(45^\circ\) then \begin{align*} && -2a &= \sqrt{ag}\cdot \left ( -\frac1{\sqrt{2}} \right) t - \frac12 g t^2 \\ \Rightarrow && 0 &= gt^2+\sqrt{2ag} t -4a \\ &&&= (\sqrt{g}t -\sqrt{2} \sqrt{a})(\sqrt{g}t +2\sqrt{2} \sqrt{a}) \\ \Rightarrow && t &= \sqrt{\frac{2a}{g}} \\ \Rightarrow && s &= \left ( -\frac1{\sqrt{2}} \right) \sqrt{ag} \sqrt{\frac{2a}{g}} \\ &&&= -a \end{align*} Therefore the \(A\) is \(a\) from the wall.
  2. When it passes over the first wall, \begin{align*} \bf{COE}: && \frac52amg &= (2a+h)mg + \frac12 m v^2 \\ \Rightarrow && v^2 &= (a-2h)g \end{align*} Now imagine firing a particle with this speed in any direction. The question is asking whether we can ever travel \(2a\) without descending more than \(h\). \begin{align*} && a &= \sqrt{(a-2h)g} \cos \beta t \\ \Rightarrow && t &= \frac{a}{\sqrt{(a-2h)g} \cos \beta}\\ && -h &= \sqrt{(a-2h)g} \sin \beta t - \frac12 g t^2 \\ &&&= a \tan \beta - \frac12 \frac{a^2}{(a-2h)} \sec^2 \beta \\ &&&= a \tan \beta - \frac{a^2}{2(a-2h)}(1+ \tan^2 \beta )\\ \Rightarrow && 0 &= \frac{a^2}{2(a-2h)} \tan^2 \beta-a \tan \beta + \frac{a^2-2ah+4h^2}{2(a-2h)} \\ && \Delta &= a^2 - \frac{a^2}{a-2h} \frac{a^2-2ah+4h^2}{a-2h} \\ &&&= \frac{a^2}{(a-2h)^2}\left ( a^2-4ah+4h^2-a^2+2ah-4h^2\right) \\ &&&= \frac{a^2}{(a-2h)^2}\left ( -2ah\right) < 0 \\ \end{align*} So there are no solutions if \(h > 0\)

2017 Paper 2 Q12
D: 1600.0 B: 1563.6

Adam and Eve are catching fish. The number of fish, \(X\), that Adam catches in any time interval is Poisson distributed with parameter \(\lambda t\), where \(\lambda\) is a constant and \(t\) is the length of the time interval. The number of fish, \(Y\), that Eve catches in any time interval is Poisson distributed with parameter \(\mu t\), where \(\mu\) is a constant and \(t\) is the length of the time interval The two Poisson variables are independent. You may assume that the expected time between Adam catching a fish and Adam catching his next fish is \(\lambda^{-1}\), and similarly for Eve.

  1. By considering \(\P( X + Y = r)\), show that the total number of fish caught by Adam and Eve in time \(T\) also has a Poisson distribution.
  2. Given that Adam and Eve catch a total of \(k\) fish in time \(T\), where \(k\) is fixed, show that the number caught by Adam has a binomial distribution.
  3. Given that Adam and Eve start fishing at the same time, find the probability that the first fish is caught by Adam.
  4. Find the expected time from the moment Adam and Eve start fishing until they have each caught at least one fish.
[Note This question has been redrafted to make the meaning clearer.]


Solution:

  1. \(\,\) \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}(X+Y=r) &= \sum_{k=0}^r \mathbb{P}(X = k, Y = r-k) \\ &&&= \sum_{k=0}^r \mathbb{P}(X = k)\mathbb{P}( Y = r-k) \\ &&&= \sum_{k=0}^r \frac{e^{-\lambda T} (\lambda T)^k}{k!}\frac{e^{-\mu T} (\mu T)^{r-k}}{(r-k)!}\\ &&&= \frac{e^{-(\mu+\lambda)T}}{r!}\sum_{k=0}^r \binom{r}{k}(\lambda T)^k (\mu T)^{r-k}\\ &&&= \frac{e^{-(\mu+\lambda)T}((\mu+\lambda)T)^r}{r!} \end{align*} Therefore \(X+Y \sim Po \left ( (\mu+\lambda)T \right)\)
  2. \(\,\) \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}(X = r | X+Y = k) &= \frac{\mathbb{P}(X=r, Y = k-r)}{\mathbb{P}(X+Y=k)} \\ &&&= \frac{\frac{e^{-\lambda T} (\lambda T)^r}{r!}\frac{e^{-\mu T} (\mu T)^{k-r}}{(k-r)!}}{\frac{e^{-(\mu+\lambda)T}((\mu+\lambda)T)^k}{k!}} \\ &&&= \binom{k}{r} \left ( \frac{\lambda}{\lambda + \mu} \right)^r \left ( \frac{\mu}{\lambda + \mu} \right)^{k-r} \end{align*} Therefore \(X|X+Y=k \sim B(k, \frac{\lambda}{\lambda + \mu})\)
  3. \(P(X=1|X+Y = 1) = \frac{\lambda}{\lambda + \mu}\)
  4. Let \(X_1, Y_1\) be the time to the first fish are caught by Adam and Eve, then \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}(X_1, Y_1 > t) &= \mathbb{P}(X_1> t) \mathbb{P}( Y_1 > t) \\ &&&= e^{-\lambda t}e^{-\mu t} \\ &&&= e^{-(\lambda+\mu)t} \\ \Rightarrow && f_{\max(X_1,Y_1)}(t) &= (\lambda+\mu)e^{-(\lambda+\mu)} \end{align*} Therefore the expected time is \(\frac1{\mu+\lambda}\)

2017 Paper 2 Q13
D: 1600.0 B: 1516.0

In a television game show, a contestant has to open a door using a key. The contestant is given a bag containing \(n\) keys, where \(n\ge2\). Only one key in the bag will open the door. There are three versions of the game. In each version, the contestant starts by choosing a key at random from the bag.

  1. In version 1, after each failed attempt at opening the door the key that has been tried is put back into the bag and the contestant again selects a key at random from the bag. By considering the binomial expansion of \(( 1 - q)^{-2}\), or otherwise, find the expected number of attempts required to open the door.
  2. In version 2, after each failed attempt at opening the door the key that has been tried is put aside and the contestant selects another key at random from the bag. Find the expected number of attempts required to open the door.
  3. In version 3, after each failed attempt at opening the door the key that has been tried is put back into the bag and another incorrect key is added to the bag. The contestant then selects a key at random from the bag. Show that the probability that the contestant draws the correct key at the \(k\)th attempt is \[ \frac{n-1}{(n+k-1)(n+k-2)} \,.\] Show also, using partial fractions, that the expected number of attempts required to open the door is infinite. You may use without proof the result that \(\displaystyle\sum_{m=1}^N \dfrac 1 m \to \infty \,\) as \(N\to \infty\,\).


Solution:

  1. The probability they pull the key out on the \(k\)th attempt will be \(\left ( \frac{n-1}{n} \right)^{k-1} \frac1n\), so we want: \begin{align*} \E[G_1] &= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} k \cdot \left ( \frac{n-1}{n} \right)^{k-1} \frac1n \\ &= \frac{1}n \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} k \cdot \left ( \frac{n-1}{n} \right)^{k-1} \\ &= \frac1n \frac{1}{\left (1 - \frac{n-1}{n} \right)^2} \\ &= \frac{1}{n} \frac{n^2}{1^2} = n \end{align*}
  2. In version 2, the probability the correct key comes out at the \(k\)th attempt is \(\frac1n\) (assume we take out all the keys, then the correct key is equally likely to appear in all of the space). Therefore \(\E[G_2] = \frac1n (1 + 2 + \cdots + n) = \frac{n+1}{2}\)
  3. The probability the key comes out on the correct attempt is: \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}(G_3 = k) &= \frac{n-1}{n} \cdot \frac{n}{n+1} \cdot \frac{n+1}{n+2} \cdots \frac{n+k-3}{n+k-2} \cdot \frac{1}{n+k-1} \\ &&&= \frac{n-1}{(n+k-2)(n+k-1)} \\ \\ &&k \cdot \mathbb{P}(G_3 = k) &= \frac{k(n-1)}{(n+k-2)(n+k-1)} \\ &&&= \frac{(n-1)(2-n)}{n+k-2} + \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-1} \\ &&&= \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-1} - \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-2} + \frac{n-1}{n-k+2} \\ \Rightarrow && \E[G_3] &= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} k \cdot \mathbb{P}(G_3 = k) \\ &&&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \left ( \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-1} - \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-2} + \frac{n-1}{n+k-2} \right) \\ &&&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \left ( \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-1} - \frac{(n-1)^2}{n+k-2} \right) +\underbrace{\sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \frac{n-1}{n-k+2}}_{\to \infty} \\ \end{align*}