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2005 Paper 1 Q11
D: 1500.0 B: 1485.7

A particle moves so that \({\bf r}\), its displacement from a fixed origin at time \(t\), is given by \[{\bf r} = \l \sin{2t} \r {\bf i} + \l 2\cos t \r \bf{j}\,,\] where \(0 \le t < 2\pi\).

  1. Show that the particle passes through the origin exactly twice.
  2. Determine the times when the velocity of the particle is perpendicular to its displacement.
  3. Show that, when the particle is not at the origin, its velocity is never parallel to its displacement.
  4. Determine the maximum distance of the particle from the origin, and sketch the path of the particle.


Solution:

  1. It is at the origin when both \(\sin 2t\) and \(\cos t = 0\), but this \(\sin 2t = 2 \sin t \cos t\) so this happens precisely when \(\cos t = 0\), ie when \(t = \frac{\pi}{2}, \frac{3\pi}{2}\)
  2. \(\,\) \begin{align*} && \dot{\mathbf{r}} &= 2 \cos 2t \mathbf{i} - 2 \sin t \mathbf{j} \\ && \mathbf{r} \cdot \dot{\mathbf{r}} &= 2\cos 2t \sin 2t - 2 \sin t 2 \cos t \\ &&&= \sin 2t \left (2\cos 2t - 2 \right) \end{align*} Therefore they are perpendicular when \(\sin 2t = 0 \Rightarrow t = 0, \frac{\pi}{2}, \pi, \frac{3\pi}{2}, 2\pi\) and when \(\cos 2t = 1 \Rightarrow 2t = 0, 2\pi, 4\pi \Rightarrow t = 0, \pi, 2\pi\), therefore all solutions are \( t = 0, \frac{\pi}{2}, \pi, \frac{3\pi}{2}, 2\pi\)
  3. For \(\mathbf{r}\) and \(\dot{\mathbf{r}}\) to be parallel, we would need \begin{align*} && \frac{2 \cos 2t}{\sin 2t} &= \frac{-2 \sin t}{2 \cos t}\\ && 2 \cos 2t \cos t &= - \sin t \sin 2t \\ && 0 &= 2\cos t (\cos 2t + \sin ^2 t) \\ &&&= 2 \cos t (\cos^2 t) \\ &&&= 2 \cos^3 t \end{align*} Therefore the only time we can be parallel is when \(\cos t = 0\), which is when we are at the origin.
  4. \(\frac{\d }{\d t} (\mathbf{r} \cdot \mathbf{r}) = 2 \mathbf{r} \cdot \mathbf{\dot{r}}\) so we should check the values when velocity and displacement are perpendicular, ie \( t = 0, \frac{\pi}{2}, \pi, \frac{3\pi}{2}, 2\pi\) which have values \(\mathbf{r} = \binom{0}{2}, \binom{0}{0}, \binom{0}{-2}, \binom{0}{0}, \binom{0}{2}\). Therefore the maximum distance is \(2\).
    TikZ diagram

2005 Paper 1 Q12
D: 1500.0 B: 1529.8

  1. The probability that a hobbit smokes a pipe is 0.7 and the probability that a hobbit wears a hat is 0.4. The probability that a hobbit smokes a pipe but does not wear a hat is \(p\). Determine the range of values of \(p\) consistent with this information.
  2. The probability that a wizard wears a hat is 0.7; the probability that a wizard wears a cloak is 0.8; and the probability that a wizard wears a ring is 0.4. The probability that a wizard does not wear a hat, does not wear a cloak and does not wear a ring is 0.05. The probability that a wizard wears a hat, a cloak and also a ring is 0.1. Determine the probability that a wizard wears exactly two of a hat, a cloak, and a ring. The probability that a wizard wears a hat but not a ring, given that he wears a cloak, is \(q\). Determine the range of values of \(q\) consistent with this information.


Solution:

  1. \(\,\)
    TikZ diagram
    The overlap can be at most 0.4, which would mean \(p =0.7-0.4 = 0.3\) It must be at least 0.1, which would mean \(p =0.7-0.1 = 0.6\) so \(0.3 \leq p \leq 0.6\)
  2. TikZ diagram
    Notice that: \begin{align*} && 1 &= 0.05 + 0.7 -(hc+hr+0.1) + \\ &&&\quad\quad 0.8 - (hc+cr + 0.1) + \\ &&&\quad \quad \quad 0.4 - (hr+cr+0.1) +\\ &&&\quad \quad \quad \quad hc+hr+cr+0.1 \\ && &= 0.05 +0.7+0.8+0.4 - (hc+hr+cr)-2\cdot 0.1 \\ \Rightarrow && hc+hr+cr &=0.05 +0.7 + 0.8 + 0.4 - 0.2-1 \\ \Rightarrow && \mathbb{P}(\text{exactly 2}) &= 0.75 \end{align*} Notice \(q = \frac{hc}{0.8}\) Notice that we must have: \(hc, hr cr \geq 0\) as well as \(hc+hr+cr = 0.75\) \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}(\text{only hat}) &= 0.7 -(hc+hr+0.1) \geq 0 \\ \Rightarrow && hc+hr & \leq 0.6 \\ && \mathbb{P}(\text{only cloak}) &= 0.8 - (hc+cr + 0.1)\geq 0 \\ \Rightarrow &&hc+cr & \leq 0.7 \\ && \mathbb{P}(\text{only ring}) &= 0.4 - (hr+cr+0.1) \geq 0 \\ \Rightarrow && hc+hr & \leq 0.3 \\ \end{align*} To find the minimum for \(hc\) we want to maximise \(hr+cr = 0.3\), so \(hc = 0.75 - 0.3 = 0.45\). To find the maximum for \(hc\) we want to minimise \(hr\) and \(cr\) \(cr \leq 0.7 - hc\) and \(hr \leq 0.6 - hc\) so \(0.75 \leq hc + (0.6 - hc) + (0.7 - hc) = 1.3-hc\) so \(hc \leq 1.3 - 0.75 = 0.55\) Therefore the range for \(q\) is \(\frac{.45}{.8}\) to \(\frac{.55}{.8}\) or \(\frac9{16} \leq q \leq \frac{11}{16}\)

2005 Paper 1 Q13
D: 1500.0 B: 1516.0

The random variable \(X\) has mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\). The distribution of \(X\) is symmetrical about \(\mu\) and satisfies: \[\P \l X \le \mu + \sigma \r = a \mbox{ and } \P \l X \le \mu + \tfrac{1}{ 2}\sigma \r = b\,,\] where \(a\) and \(b\) are fixed numbers. Do not assume that \(X\) is Normally distributed.

  1. Determine expressions (in terms of \(a\) and \(b\)) for \[ \P \l \mu-\tfrac12 \sigma \le X \le \mu + \sigma \r \mbox{ and } \P \l X \le \mu +\tfrac12 \sigma \; \vert \; X \ge \mu - \tfrac12 \sigma \r.\]
  2. My local supermarket sells cartons of skimmed milk and cartons of full-fat milk: \(60\%\) of the cartons it sells contain skimmed milk, and the rest contain full-fat milk. The volume of skimmed milk in a carton is modelled by \(X\) ml, with \(\mu = 500\) and \(\sigma =10\,\). The volume of full-fat milk in a carton is modelled by \(X\) ml, with \(\mu = 495\) and \(\sigma = 10\,\).
    1. Today, I bought one carton of milk, chosen at random, from this supermarket. When I get home, I find that it contains less than 505 ml. Determine an expression (in terms of \(a\) and \(b\)) for the probability that this carton of milk contains more than 500 ml.
    2. Over the years, I have bought a very large number of cartons of milk, all chosen at random, from this supermarket. \(70\%\) of the cartons I have bought have contained at most 505 ml of milk. Of all the cartons that have contained at least 495 ml of milk, one third of them have contained full-fat milk. Use this information to estimate the values of \(a\) and \(b\).


Solution:

  1. \(\,\) \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}\left (\mu - \tfrac12 \sigma \leq X \right) &= \mathbb{P}\left (X \leq \mu + \tfrac12 \sigma \right) \tag{by symmetry} \\ &&&= b \\ \Rightarrow && \mathbb{P} \left (\mu - \tfrac12 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + \sigma \right) &= a - (1-b) = a+b - 1\\ \\ && \mathbb{P} \left ( X \le \mu +\tfrac12 \sigma \vert X \ge \mu - \tfrac12 \sigma \right ) &= \frac{ \mathbb{P} \left (\mu - \tfrac12 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + \tfrac12 \sigma \right)}{\mathbb{P} \left ( X \ge \mu - \tfrac12 \sigma \right )} \\ &&&= \frac{b-(1-b)}{1-(1-b)} \\ &&&= \frac{2b-1}{b} \end{align*}
    1. Let \(Y\) be the volume of milk in the carton I bring home, we are interested in: \begin{align*} && \mathbb{P}(Y \geq 500 | Y \leq 505) &= \frac{\mathbb{P}(500 \leq Y \leq 505)}{\mathbb{P}(Y \leq 505)} \\ &&&=\frac{\mathbb{P}(500 \leq Y \leq 505|\text{skimmed})\mathbb{P}(\text{skimmed})+\mathbb{P}(500 \leq Y \leq 505|\text{full fat})\mathbb{P}(\text{full fat})}{\mathbb{P}(Y \leq 505|\text{skimmed})\mathbb{P}(\text{skimmed})+\mathbb{P}(Y \leq 505|\text{full fat})\mathbb{P}(\text{full fat})} \\ &&&= \frac{\frac35 \cdot \mathbb{P}(\mu \leq X \leq \mu + \tfrac12 \sigma) + \frac25 \cdot \mathbb{P}(\mu+\tfrac12 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu +\sigma)}{\frac35 \cdot \mathbb{P}(X \leq \mu + \tfrac12 \sigma) + \frac25 \cdot \mathbb{P}(X \leq \mu +\sigma)} \\ &&&= \frac{\frac35 \cdot(b-\tfrac12) + \frac25 \cdot (a-b)}{\frac35 \cdot b + \frac25 \cdot a} \\ &&&= \frac{b+2a-\frac32}{3b+2a} \\ &&&= \frac{4a+2b-3}{4a+6b} \end{align*}
    2. \(70\%\) of cartons have contained at most 505 ml, so: \begin{align*} && \tfrac7{10} &= \mathbb{P}(Y \leq 505) \\ &&&= \mathbb{P}(Y \leq 505 | \text{ skimmed}) \mathbb{P}(\text{skimmed}) + \mathbb{P}(Y \leq 505 | \text{ full fat}) \mathbb{P}(\text{full fat}) \\ &&&= \mathbb{P}(X \leq \mu + \tfrac12 \sigma) \cdot \tfrac35 + \mathbb{P}(X\leq \mu + \sigma ) \cdot \tfrac25 \\ \Rightarrow && 7 &= 6b+ 4a \end{align*} \(\tfrac13\) of cartons containing 495 ml contained full fat milk: \begin{align*} && \tfrac13 &= \mathbb{P}(\text{full fat} | Y \geq 495) \\ &&&= \frac{\mathbb{P}(\text{full fat and} Y \geq 495) }{\mathbb{P}(Y \geq 495)} \\ &&&= \frac{\mathbb{P}(X \geq \mu)\frac25}{\mathbb{P}(X \geq \mu)\cdot \frac25+\mathbb{P}(X \geq \mu-\tfrac12 \sigma)\cdot \frac35} \\ &&&= \frac{\frac15}{\frac12 \cdot \frac25 + b\frac35}\\ &&&= \frac{1}{1+ 3b }\\ \Rightarrow && 3b+1 &= 3 \\ \Rightarrow && b &= \frac23 \\ && a &= \frac34 \end{align*}

2005 Paper 1 Q14
D: 1516.0 B: 1513.9

The random variable \(X\) can take the value \mbox{\(X=-1\)}, and also any value in the range \mbox{\(0\le X <\infty\,\)}. The distribution of \(X\) is given by \[ \P(X=-1) =m \,, \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \P(0\le X\le x) = k(1-\e^{-x})\,, \] for any non-negative number \(x\), where \(k\) and \(m\) are constants, and \(m <\frac12\,\).

  1. Find \(k\) in terms of \(m\).
  2. Show that \(\E(X)= 1-2m\,\).
  3. Find, in terms of \(m\), \(\var (X)\) and the median value of~\(X\).
  4. Given that \[ \int_0^\infty y^2 \e^{-y^2} \d y = \tfrac14 \sqrt{ \pi}\;,\] find \(\E\big(\vert X \vert^{\frac12}\big)\,\) in terms of \(m\).